Big upset win Expected win Neutral Expected loss Costly loss
Costly Losses (drag UTR down)
vs Xavier Orosco (2.99 UTR, 0.3 below you)
How to Improve Your UTR
You haven't beaten any higher-rated opponents recently. Competing against stronger players and winning those matches is the fastest way to raise your UTR.
You have relatively few rated matches in the past 12 months. Playing more matches gives the algorithm more data and can help your UTR become more accurate and potentially higher.
UTR Simulator
Simulation
Model how a batch of future matches could shift your rating.
5
3.32
60%
Projected UTR: 3.37+0.05
Based on 5 matches (3W-2L) vs ~3.32 rated opponents
To gain ~1.0 point: ~6 matches vs ~4.82 rated opponents with an 80% win rate
Estimates based on documented UTR algorithm behavior with recency, format, and competitiveness weighting. Actual UTR also uses opponent reliability (not available from API). Results are approximate.
